Crude Check: Oil Bulls Stay Firm

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By news.saerio.com


Crude oil prices surged last week too. Brent crude oil futures on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) ($103.10/barrel) was up 11.3 per cent whereas crude oil futures in the domestic market (₹8,943/barrel) gained 11.5 per cent.

Brent futures ($103.10)

Brent crude oil futures, after witnessing high volatility, settled the week higher by 11.3 per cent. While there was a drop in price early last week, the contract eventually reclaimed the key $95 and $100 levels, denoting the presence of buyers.

The chart shows that the uptrend is intact and so, the likelihood of further rally is high. That said, there could be a moderation in price, possibly to $95-100 support band, before going up further.

Once the uptrend begins, Brent crude futures can see a rise to $120 in the near term. Note that the $120-124 price band is a notable resistance. 

MCX-Crude oil (₹8,943)

Crude oil futures (April), too, saw considerable volatility in price. On Monday, it rallied to hit a fresh high of ₹10,177. But then, it lost most of the gains on the same day.

While the fall extended on Tuesday as well, it rebounded from the support at ₹7,300 and continued to rise for the rest of the week. 

Going ahead, there might be some correction in price. But the downswing can be arrested by the support at ₹8,500 or ₹8,000. So long as the latter base holds true, the bulls will have an upper hand.

A resumption in rally can lift the contract to ₹10,300. But in case the support at ₹8,000 is breached, the dip can extend to ₹7,000.

Trade strategy: Go long at ₹8,500 with a stop-loss at ₹7,850. On a rally to ₹9,600, revise the stop-loss to ₹9,200. Book profits at ₹10,300. Risk averse traders can stay out.

Published on March 14, 2026



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